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Nifty: A Nifty bounce after gap-down may happen this time too

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Is the ‘gap-down’ opening in the Sensex and Nifty on December 19 signalling a rebound in the market? The indices opened gap down 1.3% on Thursday after the US Fed tempered the market’s expectations of interest rate cuts.

A gap-down happens when a stock opens at a much lower price than where it closed the day before, leaving a ‘gap’ on the price chart that’s considered a sign of investor panic. The Sensex and Nifty fell 1.5% the next day.

According to Samco Securities, the initial fall on Thursday was the 107th instance since 2000 and the 41st since April 2020 when the indices opened with a gap-down of 1%.

niftyAgencies

The brokerage said since 2020, the Nifty had rebounded 73-83% out of the 40 occasions of similar gap-downs over the next two months. Similarly, since 2000, the index has bounced on 67% of the 106 occasions over the subsequent two months. “If this historical trend persists, the current drop could represent a strategic buying opportunity for investors,” said Samco’s analyst Raj Gaikar.

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