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Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Friday

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The Indian market ended in red on Thursday as a surge in rate-sensitive IT stocks due to the near-certainty of a U.S. rate cut next week was offset by a decline in almost all other sectors on caution ahead of domestic inflation data.

The benchmark S&P BSE Sensex slipped 236.18 points or 0.3% to settle at 81,289.96, while the broader Nifty 50 index closed at 24,548.70, lower by 93.10 points or 0.38%.

Here’s how analysts read the market pulse:

Commenting on the day’s action, Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services said the market continued to remain range bound ahead of domestic CPI data and weakening rupee.

“Though inflation is anticipated to drop, investors are maintaining a close vigil on the vegetable prices, which will determine the future rate trajectory. Meanwhile, the Nifty IT index reached a new high after US inflation data met expectations, boosting hopes for a Fed rate cut next week,” Nair added.

US markets

U.S. stock indexes wavered on Thursday as investors digested mixed economic data. The S&P 500 slipped 0.1%, potentially heading for its third loss in four days, a slight stumble in what has been one of its best years of the millennium.

By 11:30 a.m. Eastern time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 3 points (less than 0.1%), while the Nasdaq composite fell 0.2% after reaching a record high the previous day.New data showed a higher-than-expected rise in unemployment benefit applications and hotter-than-anticipated wholesale inflation for November. While not alarming, these reports challenge the narrative that inflation is cooling enough for the Federal Reserve to maintain rate cuts, even as the economy stays resilient and avoids recession.

European stocks

Europe’s main stock markets were little changed Thursday despite interest rate cuts by the eurozone and Swiss central banks as policymakers warned of economic and political woes in the region and beyond.

The Paris CAC 40 was up 0.1 percent in afternoon deals but the Frankfurt DAX was flat after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its third consecutive reduction and fourth this year overall.

ECB President Christine Lagarde warned that the eurozone economy was “losing momentum” and that “the risk of greater friction in global trade could weigh on euro area growth”.

Earlier, the Swiss National Bank surprised markets with a 50-basis-point reduction in its rate, citing slowing inflation and “uncertainty” over the impact of Trump’s economic policies and Europe’s political upheaval.

Tech View

The Nifty slipped below the recent consolidation on the daily chart, indicating a weakening trend in the near term, said Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities.

“However, the decline was limited, and the index managed to stay above 24,500. This sideways consolidation in Nifty may persist for a few more days as the index remains within a defined range. A decisive fall below 24,470 could trigger a meaningful correction in the market. On the higher side, resistance is seen at 24,650-24,700,” De added.

Most active stocks in terms of turnover

Godrej Properties (Rs 954.61 crore), Nuvama Wealth Management (Rs 359.17 crore), Star Health (Rs 156.48 crore), Adani Power (Rs 151.49 crore), Adani Green Energy (Rs 126.02 crore), Reliance Industries Ltd (Rs 86.55 crore) and Coforge (Rs 64.75 crore) were among the most active stocks on BSE in value terms. Higher activity in a counter in value terms can help identify the counters with highest trading turnovers in the day.

Most active stocks in volume terms

Vodafone Idea (Traded shares: 29.28 crore), YES Bank (Traded shares: 17.99 crore), Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) (Traded shares: 10.95 crore), NALCO (Traded shares: 5.83 crore), IRFC (Traded shares: 3.95 crore), Zomato (Traded shares: 3.84 crore) and Suzlon Energy (Traded shares: 3.36 crore) and were among the most actively traded stocks in volume terms on NSE.

Stocks showing buying interest

Shares of Chalet Hotels, Adani Green Energy, BLS International Services, Tata Teleservices, Century Plyboards, Aadhar Housing Finance and Adani Power were among the stocks that witnessed strong buying interest from market participants.

52 Week high

Over 259 stocks hit their 52 week highs today while 22 stocks slipped to their 52-week lows. Among the ones which hit their 52 week highs included Chalet Hotels, EID Parry, Max Healthcare, Muthoot Finance, Coforge, Authum Investment & Infrastructure and Tech Mahindra.

Stocks seeing selling pressure

Stocks which witnessed significant selling pressure were NALCO, Jubilant Food, Nuvama Wealth Management, Go Digit General Insurance, Indus Towers, Akums Drugs & Pharmaceuticals and Alembic Pharma.

Sentiment meter favours bulls

The market sentiments were bearish. Out of the 4,105 stocks that traded on the BSE on Thursday, 2,517 stocks witnessed declines, 1,481 saw advances, while 107 stocks remained unchanged.

Also read | Pricier than priciest! PropShare Platina REIT beats Elcid, MRF with jumbo Rs 10.5 lakh sticker price

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)



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